=================================================================================================================================================================== AIWolf Live Metrics 2026-08-11 01:41:00 +0900 =================================================================================================================================================================== [DONE] Every game in this track has finished. This file will not be updated again. [Track] INLG2_MainTruck5 All 270 games have finished [Progress and win rate] team Planned Played Left Counted Roles Win-M Win-m Win-w -------------------------------------------------------------------- AGKAI 75 75 0 75 4 0.600 0.583 0.600 CamelliaDragons 75 75 0 75 4 0.507 0.483 0.507 CanisLupus 75 75 0 75 4 0.573 0.550 0.573 Luna 75 75 0 75 4 0.507 0.500 0.507 Mackerel 75 75 0 75 4 0.413 0.400 0.413 NTT-HAI 75 75 0 75 4 0.547 0.567 0.547 Oxymoron 75 75 0 75 4 0.413 0.392 0.413 SunameLLi 75 75 0 75 4 0.520 0.483 0.520 UEC-IL 75 75 0 75 4 0.507 0.500 0.507 carrot 75 75 0 75 4 0.467 0.458 0.467 gotsumori-NLP 75 75 0 75 4 0.387 0.367 0.387 kataken14f 75 75 0 75 4 0.507 0.500 0.507 noisy_watcher 75 75 0 75 4 0.453 0.408 0.453 ryanleeai 75 75 0 75 4 0.547 0.583 0.547 wool_100% 75 75 0 75 4 0.587 0.600 0.587 yatolab 75 75 0 75 4 0.693 0.675 0.693 yharada 75 75 0 75 4 0.560 0.558 0.560 yshimoda 75 75 0 75 4 0.413 0.392 0.413 Planned/Played/Left games scheduled, finished, and not yet played Counted games used to compute the metrics Roles number of distinct roles drawn at least once Win-M win rate over all seats pooled. What actually happened Win-m unweighted mean of the per-role win rates Win-w per-role win rates re-averaged with the village's role composition. Removes the luck of the draw [Win rate by role] team Villager Seer Possessed Werewolf ------------------------------------------------------------------------ AGKAI 0.667 (20/30) 0.467 (7/15) 0.667 (10/15) 0.533 (8/15) CamelliaDragons 0.600 (18/30) 0.400 (6/15) 0.467 (7/15) 0.467 (7/15) CanisLupus 0.667 (20/30) 0.667 (10/15) 0.600 (9/15) 0.267 (4/15) Luna 0.533 (16/30) 0.533 (8/15) 0.400 (6/15) 0.533 (8/15) Mackerel 0.467 (14/30) 0.533 (8/15) 0.400 (6/15) 0.200 (3/15) NTT-HAI 0.467 (14/30) 0.600 (9/15) 0.600 (9/15) 0.600 (9/15) Oxymoron 0.500 (15/30) 0.400 (6/15) 0.267 (4/15) 0.400 (6/15) SunameLLi 0.667 (20/30) 0.533 (8/15) 0.400 (6/15) 0.333 (5/15) UEC-IL 0.533 (16/30) 0.600 (9/15) 0.400 (6/15) 0.467 (7/15) carrot 0.500 (15/30) 0.533 (8/15) 0.267 (4/15) 0.533 (8/15) gotsumori-NLP 0.467 (14/30) 0.267 (4/15) 0.533 (8/15) 0.200 (3/15) kataken14f 0.533 (16/30) 0.800 (12/15) 0.333 (5/15) 0.333 (5/15) noisy_watcher 0.633 (19/30) 0.467 (7/15) 0.267 (4/15) 0.267 (4/15) ryanleeai 0.400 (12/30) 0.867 (13/15) 0.400 (6/15) 0.667 (10/15) wool_100% 0.533 (16/30) 0.800 (12/15) 0.467 (7/15) 0.600 (9/15) yatolab 0.767 (23/30) 0.533 (8/15) 0.733 (11/15) 0.667 (10/15) yharada 0.567 (17/30) 0.600 (9/15) 0.400 (6/15) 0.667 (10/15) yshimoda 0.500 (15/30) 0.400 (6/15) 0.400 (6/15) 0.267 (4/15) Win rate when playing that role, with (wins / games). The 5-player village has no Medium or Bodyguard. Roles with few games swing on chance, so read the counts in parentheses too. [Trust] ― Executed ― ― Divined by the seer ― ― Guarded by the bodyguard ― team count expected | Execution likelihood | count expected | Divination targeting | count expected | Guard targeting | ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGKAI 21 28.8 | 0.728 | 25 23.1 | 1.083 | 0 0 | - | CamelliaDragons 27 24.4 | 1.106 | 22 20.5 | 1.073 | 0 0 | - | CanisLupus 34 25.3 | 1.342 | 21 21.5 | 0.977 | 0 0 | - | Luna 24 28.8 | 0.832 | 22 22.0 | 1.000 | 0 0 | - | Mackerel 33 27.2 | 1.215 | 16 20.7 | 0.774 | 0 0 | - | NTT-HAI 24 29.5 | 0.814 | 16 21.2 | 0.756 | 0 0 | - | Oxymoron 24 26.2 | 0.914 | 27 23.4 | 1.153 | 0 0 | - | SunameLLi 22 24.8 | 0.889 | 26 21.8 | 1.191 | 0 0 | - | UEC-IL 23 26.3 | 0.873 | 14 20.2 | 0.694 | 0 0 | - | carrot 25 26.8 | 0.932 | 11 19.1 | 0.576 | 0 0 | - | gotsumori-NLP 48 23.9 | 2.007 | 37 18.2 | 2.037 | 0 0 | - | kataken14f 26 26.7 | 0.975 | 19 19.1 | 0.996 | 0 0 | - | noisy_watcher 35 23.9 | 1.463 | 16 19.1 | 0.838 | 0 0 | - | ryanleeai 24 27.5 | 0.873 | 17 20.3 | 0.836 | 0 0 | - | wool_100% 18 27.3 | 0.659 | 26 21.5 | 1.209 | 0 0 | - | yatolab 24 28.2 | 0.850 | 22 21.9 | 1.004 | 0 0 | - | yharada 16 28.9 | 0.553 | 16 23.0 | 0.696 | 0 0 | - | yshimoda 33 26.2 | 1.257 | 25 21.5 | 1.163 | 0 0 | - | Execution likelihood times executed / times expected at random Divination targeting times divined / times expected at random Guard targeting times guarded / times expected at random. 9-player village only * Random behaviour = 1.0. [Inference] ― As the seer ― ― On the village side ― ― As the possessed ― team werewolves expected | Divination accuracy | votes on wolves expected | Vote accuracy | votes on non-wolves votes cast | Non-werewolf vote rate | ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGKAI 6 6.4 | 0.935 | 31 23.1 | 1.343 | 18 22 | 0.818 | CamelliaDragons 9 5.8 | 1.543 | 25 17.2 | 1.449 | 15 17 | 0.882 | CanisLupus 9 6.4 | 1.403 | 25 20.2 | 1.235 | 16 18 | 0.889 | Luna 5 6.1 | 0.822 | 24 24.4 | 0.983 | 13 18 | 0.722 | Mackerel 4 5.8 | 0.696 | 26 21.6 | 1.205 | 16 20 | 0.800 | NTT-HAI 4 7.1 | 0.565 | 27 23.8 | 1.137 | 14 22 | 0.636 | Oxymoron 6 5.8 | 1.043 | 19 21.1 | 0.901 | 11 17 | 0.647 | SunameLLi 5 6.4 | 0.779 | 36 19.2 | 1.870 | 11 19 | 0.579 | UEC-IL 5 6.4 | 0.779 | 20 19.8 | 1.013 | 18 19 | 0.947 | carrot 7 6.1 | 1.151 | 22 20.8 | 1.060 | 9 19 | 0.474 | gotsumori-NLP 3 3.3 | 0.900 | 18 18.6 | 0.969 | 17 17 | 1.000 | kataken14f 9 6.7 | 1.333 | 22 21.8 | 1.011 | 12 19 | 0.632 | noisy_watcher 2 5.0 | 0.400 | 25 19.6 | 1.277 | 6 16 | 0.375 | ryanleeai 11 5.8 | 1.913 | 20 20.9 | 0.956 | 15 21 | 0.714 | wool_100% 8 5.8 | 1.391 | 27 20.2 | 1.333 | 16 20 | 0.800 | yatolab 9 5.8 | 1.565 | 35 20.8 | 1.687 | 17 22 | 0.773 | yharada 7 5.8 | 1.217 | 21 21.6 | 0.973 | 13 22 | 0.591 | yshimoda 4 4.1 | 0.980 | 15 19.4 | 0.773 | 14 19 | 0.737 | Divination accuracy werewolves divined / times expected at random Vote accuracy votes on werewolves / votes expected at random * Random behaviour = 1.0. Non-werewolf vote rate share of votes on non-werewolves while possessed. The possessed is not told who the werewolves are, so avoiding them requires inferring it [Voting behaviour] ― All roles ― ― As a werewolf ― team votes on self votes cast | Self-vote rate | votes on teammates votes cast | Teammate-vote rate | ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- AGKAI 0 117 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | CamelliaDragons 0 99 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | CanisLupus 0 106 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | Luna 0 117 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | Mackerel 0 112 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | NTT-HAI 1 119 | 0.008 | 0 0 | - | Oxymoron 0 109 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | SunameLLi 0 105 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | UEC-IL 0 109 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | carrot 1 111 | 0.009 | 0 0 | - | gotsumori-NLP 35 102 | 0.343 | 0 0 | - | kataken14f 2 110 | 0.018 | 0 0 | - | noisy_watcher 10 101 | 0.099 | 0 0 | - | ryanleeai 0 113 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | wool_100% 0 112 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | yatolab 0 115 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | yharada 0 117 | 0.000 | 0 0 | - | yshimoda 28 110 | 0.255 | 0 0 | - | Self-vote rate share of votes cast on oneself Teammate-vote rate share of votes on the other werewolf while a werewolf. 9-player village only. Not necessarily a mistake: it can be a way to deflect suspicion